From a rule-based world to a chaotic mess
• Global uncertainty has been evident since the Trump presidency, leading to preparations for more challenging times.
• Leaders like Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, and Donald Trump are expected to lead more disruption, increased geopolitical tensions, and economic tsunamis.
• The influence of leaders like Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, and Donald Trump, and Ukraine’s Volodymyr Zelenskyy, is believed to have little hope of change.
• The disruption is seen as the beginning of a new phenomenon in the world’s history, potentially disrupting and overturning the existing order.
• The U.S., once seen as the fountainhead of democracy, is witnessing unprecedented disruption, leading to escalating tensions and unexpected consequences.
• The U.S.’s internal divisions and Trump’s new tariff war have negatively impacted its relations with other countries.
• Trump’s policies have targeted educational institutions like Harvard and Columbia, affecting the U.S.’s future and its intrinsic capabilities.
• Europe is grappling with uncertainty about its future and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization due to the ongoing conflict with Russia over Ukraine.
West Asia’s Current Situation and Global Concerns
• Israel’s offensive in Gaza is a significant issue, with the U.S. and West refusing to restrain Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
• Israel is seeking to redraw the region’s geography and destiny, including seeking territories previously unoccupied by Israel.
• Israel’s administration under new leader Ahmed al-Shara is on the brink of collapse, disbanding the army, security services, civil services, and political parties.
• Old feuds between Ethiopia and Eritrea have reemerged across North Africa.
• Turkey is in turmoil with President Recep Tayyip Erdogan arresting his main political opponent before elections.
• Israel is contemplating a strike to destroy Iran’s nuclear capabilities, despite Iran’s nuclear potential.
• Islamic State (IS) affiliates are moving out of the West Asian region, causing concern for global terrorist activities.
Events in Asia
• Afghanistan and Pakistan are facing internal turmoil and are under the control of terrorist groups like the IS.
• A fresh wave of terror attacks is occurring within these countries and afield, with many being sponsored by new affiliates.
• The latest attack on tourists in Pahalgam, Kashmir, on April 22, killed 26 people.
• Bangladesh, Myanmar, and Nepal, located to India’s east, are facing internal turmoil.
• The China-Taiwan problem remains unresolved, with China focusing on economic solutions and a potential economic and peace offensive.
• China-India rivalry for the heart of Asia remains intense, with China increasing its presence and submarines in the Indian Ocean region.