GST 2.0: Short-term Pain, Possible Long-term Gain
GST Introduction and Evolution
• Introduced in India to promote consumption and production efficiencies.
• Destination-based tax system aimed to rebate taxes paid on inputs.
• New rate structure, effective from September 22, 2025, implies significant rate reductions for some goods.
GST Benefits and Impact
• Major beneficiary sectors include textiles, consumer electronics, automobiles, health, and most food items.
• Production sectors include fertilizers, agricultural machinery, and renewable energy.
Revenue Impact
• Revenues determined as the tax rate multiplied by the tax base, which is final consumption expenditure.
• Lowering tax rates expected to decrease post-tax prices, leading to increased quantity demanded.
Income Augmenting Effect
• Government bears substantial foregone revenues on GST reforms, benefiting the tax-payer and increasing disposable incomes.
• Increased disposable income would increase demand for goods in higher rate categories.
Macro Implications
• May pressure India’s budgeted fiscal deficit for 2025-26.
• Direct taxes contracted by (-)4.3% in the first four months of 2025-26.
GST 2.0 Reform is important topic for Civil service exam (WBCS).
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