The German Tank Problem: A Case Study

• The German tank problem is a statistical method used to estimate the production of battle tanks during World War II.

• The problem was solved using the formula: N ≈ k + (k/m) – 1, where ‘k’ is the highest serial number and’m’ is the number of tanks.

• The results were accurate and close to Germany’s actual production figures, often more accurate than intelligence-based guesses.

• The problem is still taught today as it demonstrates the power of statistical reasoning in uncertain situations.

• The problem can also be applied to estimating hidden populations or the existence of rare books.

German Tank Problem is important topic for Civil service exam (WBCS).

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