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  • Why are swing states important in this U.S. election?
    Posted on November 1st, 2024 in Exam Details (QP Included)

    Why are swing states important in this U.S. election?

    • The U.S. presidential election is set for November 5, with around 24.4 crore eligible voters.
    • The election will be decided by a few thousand voters in key battleground or swing states, due to the unique features of the electoral system.
    • In 2020, President Joe Biden led over Donald Trump by around 70 lakh votes, but the small margins with which he won key states were more significant.
    • In 2016, Donald Trump trailed Hillary Clinton by two percentage points, but could still emerge as the winner due to his win in key swing states.
    • The winner of the U.S. presidential contest is selected by a majority in the electoral college of 538, which is 270.
    • The “winner-takes-it-all” system in most U.S. states allots all electors to the candidate who gets more popular votes.
    • The main opponents, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, are trying to turn the battleground States in their favor in the last lap of campaigning ahead of election day.
    • The contest between the two candidates is a dead heat, with the average polling error for more than five decades in the U.S. being 3.4%.
    • Both candidates are trying to tailor their messages, particularly targeting these States, such as Latinos, Blacks, and Muslims.
    • In the last stretch, there will be further concentration of firepower by both sides on the small numbers that count as big in the elections.

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