Canadian election, shaped by Trudeau and Trump
• The Liberal Party and Conservative Party of Canada are at an unprecedented inflection point, with two narrowly divided parties and the Donald Trump presidency straining its stability.
• Justin Trudeau, the former Prime Minister, lost support within his party and had to resign, paving the way for Mark Carney.
• Carney, a political rookie and a reputable economist, realized his party did not have the numbers in Canada’s Parliament and called snap elections on April 28.
• The Liberal Party’s resurgence is attributed to the revanchist Trump presidency, which has argued for the geographical, political, and economic unification of Canada with the U.S.
• The Liberal Party’s resurgence is driven by rising opposition to and hatred for Trump and America in Canada, fueling a patriotic bout in Canada.
• The Conservative Party leader, Pierre Poilievre, has slipped to a tie in polls with the Liberal Party, squandering his earlier lead.
• Both candidates, Carney and Poilievre, will have to take up centrist positions on policy issues to avoid Trudeau’s extremes.
• The four main contenders in the elections are Mr. Carney, Mr. Poilievre, Bloc Québécois leader Yves-François Blanchet, and New Democratic Party leader Jagmeet Singh.
• The next election will have to face the test of steering Canada amid domestic and foreign policy constraints.
• The legacy of Trudeau’s legacy could continue to cast dark shadows on Ottawa’s relations abroad, especially in Asia.
• Both Mr. Carney and Mr. Poilievre have indicated they will seek better relations with India, but the political support from Mr. Singh’s party will be the greatest outlier in shaping ties with New Delhi.