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  • Why are gold prices rising?
    Posted on November 1st, 2024 in Exam Details (QP Included)

    Why are gold prices rising?

    • Gold spot price reached a record high of $2,758.37 for an ounce on October 23, amidst geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty.
    • Gold prices have been marginally corrected from this record high, with prices at $2,731.45/ounce.
    • In India, gold was at ₹7,513.37/gram, 40% higher than ₹5,354.20/gram a year ago.
    • Gold’s safety haven characteristic and lower co-relation with other asset classes make it a safe haven during periods of geopolitical stress and economic uncertainty.
    • Gold prices are suggested to hold an inverse relationship with interest rates, with tightened interest rates making gold less attractive to investors. Conversely, lower interest rates and a weaker dollar can prompt investors to opt for the safety bullion cushion.
    • Central banks purchase gold to hedge against global uncertainties, not diversifying their forex reserves.
    • Demand for gold traditionally peaks in the second half of the year with the arrival of the festive season and the onset of the wedding season.
    • Gold prices are determined by forces of supply and demand, with gold being finite and the gestation period from mining to production often taking decades to respond to market dynamics.
    • The decline in the U.S. dollar with the Fed’s rate cut and geopolitical tensions helped the rally.
    • Prices of gold may continue upwards, with international market rates potentially coming down between early to mid-November by about $50 to approximately $2,650/ounce.
    • Investment demand has been strong, supported by strong price performance of the yellow metal.
    • WGC expects increased demand from rural areas due to improvements in overall consumption and favorable monsoons and higher crop sowing.

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